From mboxrd@z Thu Jan 1 00:00:00 1970 Received: from sog-mx-4.v43.ch3.sourceforge.com ([172.29.43.194] helo=mx.sourceforge.net) by sfs-ml-1.v29.ch3.sourceforge.com with esmtp (Exim 4.76) (envelope-from ) id 1XjDEB-0000CS-Vv for bitcoin-development@lists.sourceforge.net; Tue, 28 Oct 2014 20:18:52 +0000 X-ACL-Warn: Received: from mail-la0-f53.google.com ([209.85.215.53]) by sog-mx-4.v43.ch3.sourceforge.com with esmtps (TLSv1:RC4-SHA:128) (Exim 4.76) id 1XjDE6-0004PC-IE for bitcoin-development@lists.sourceforge.net; Tue, 28 Oct 2014 20:18:51 +0000 Received: by mail-la0-f53.google.com with SMTP id mc6so1314207lab.40 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2014 13:18:39 -0700 (PDT) X-Google-DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=1e100.net; s=20130820; h=x-gm-message-state:mime-version:sender:in-reply-to:references:from :date:message-id:subject:to:cc:content-type; bh=duWpjlXhK0wJLeoVlOTzTAiABCG/Cjj5CdqrhSkt7XU=; b=eXWfCArXKAgMYuAQBi2EYIH2+Z12F8VgUm+vRXWrFhyxCqky9VQ6M6cWV+pOPhJZfx pgDmLUywodMx81OiNzDNS6z8GuIBTLy8JKXb364jncvcnQwM+YMmVj8JTCnniou4kgvR kLW/UJXcd3G4sO4SfOA1XPVyK81VL4WC8FlIX7e0qkIqxry2JtPfWjVwx6xZjEBV37Eq +jB+oTfM/O8yVUKgh99IliNBxTFClOQ6KPPbGqtWK+SAo4QpY9SvOYS08EET9+jEtzA+ /qrKNRq3+wW9dBOtMEABxy9agNythDNf/kwlQx8YN1BsmSixExSu3twf5R2W89zeFzxP Y+IA== X-Gm-Message-State: ALoCoQn32IVhhKoHF4FLiDBBFlK1azvm1yuuJorKHJoFwAYZ8euyXTEan+jrT1aMHJgJQQmNIiHg X-Received: by 10.112.173.100 with SMTP id bj4mr6664554lbc.78.1414527519177; Tue, 28 Oct 2014 13:18:39 -0700 (PDT) MIME-Version: 1.0 Sender: ferdinando@ametrano.net Received: by 10.25.15.158 with HTTP; Tue, 28 Oct 2014 13:17:58 -0700 (PDT) X-Originating-IP: [79.11.148.196] In-Reply-To: References: From: "Ferdinando M. Ametrano" Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2014 21:17:58 +0100 X-Google-Sender-Auth: jkVO5LaEjrVGoqCAnWl8ie6Bh7A Message-ID: To: Gavin Andresen Content-Type: multipart/related; boundary=001a11c240664e69b70506815a0f X-Spam-Score: 1.9 (+) X-Spam-Report: Spam Filtering performed by mx.sourceforge.net. See http://spamassassin.org/tag/ for more details. 0.0 FREEMAIL_FROM Sender email is commonly abused enduser mail provider (ferdinando.ametrano[at]gmail.com) 0.0 HTML_IMAGE_RATIO_08 BODY: HTML has a low ratio of text to image area 1.0 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message 1.0 HTML_IMAGE_ONLY_16 BODY: HTML: images with 1200-1600 bytes of words -0.1 DKIM_VALID_AU Message has a valid DKIM or DK signature from author's domain 0.1 DKIM_SIGNED Message has a DKIM or DK signature, not necessarily valid -0.1 DKIM_VALID Message has at least one valid DKIM or DK signature X-Headers-End: 1XjDE6-0004PC-IE Cc: MANDELLI FRANCESCO , MAZZOCCHI PAOLO , Bitcoin Dev Subject: Re: [Bitcoin-development] death by halving X-BeenThere: bitcoin-development@lists.sourceforge.net X-Mailman-Version: 2.1.9 Precedence: list List-Id: List-Unsubscribe: , List-Archive: List-Post: List-Help: List-Subscribe: , X-List-Received-Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2014 20:18:52 -0000 --001a11c240664e69b70506815a0f Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary=001a11c240664e69b40506815a0e --001a11c240664e69b40506815a0e Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable On Oct 25, 2014 9:19 PM, "Gavin Andresen" wrote: > We had a halving, and it was a non-event. > Is there some reason to believe next time will be different? In november 2008 bitcoin was a much younger ecosystem, with less liquidity and trading, smaller market cap, and the halving happened during a quite stable positive price trend. In the next months competition might easily drive down mining margins, and the reward halving might generate unexpected disruption in mining operations. Moreover, halving is not strictly necessary to respect the spirit of Nakamoto's monetary rule and its 21M limit. At the beginning of the 3rd reward era (block 420000, in 2017) a new reward function could become effective R(b)=3Dk*2^(-h*b/210000) where b is the block number and R(b) is the reward. The parameters h and k can be calibrated so that R(419999)=3D25 and sum_b{R}=3D21M =E2=80=8BIf the increased issuance speed in the third era is considered problematic, then each era could have its own R_e(b)=3Dk_e*2^(-h_e*b/210000= ) fitted to the amount of coins to be issued in that era according to the current supply rule, e.g. fitting k_e and h_e to R(419999)=3D25 and sum_{b}_e=3D2,625,000. Would such a BIP have any chance to be considered? Am I missing something? Nando --001a11c240664e69b40506815a0e Content-Type: text/html; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

On Oct 25, 2014 9:19 PM, "Gavin Andres= en" <g= avinandresen@gmail.com> wrote:
> We had a halving, and it was = a non-event.
> Is there some reason to believe next time will be diff= erent?

In november 2008 bitcoin was a much younger ecosystem, with less liq= uidity and trading, smaller market cap, and the halving happened during a q= uite stable positive price trend.

In the next months competition migh= t easily drive down mining margins, and the reward halving might generate u= nexpected disruption in mining operations.

Moreover, halving is not s= trictly necessary to respect the spirit of Nakamoto's monetary rule and= its 21M limit. At the beginning of the 3rd reward era (block=C2=A0420000, = in 2017) a new reward function could become effective R(b)=3Dk*2^(-h*b/2100= 00) where b is the block number and R(b) is the reward. The parameters h an= d k can be calibrated so that R(419999)=3D25 and sum_b{R}=3D21M


=

=E2=80=8BIf the increased issuance speed in the third era is conside= red problematic, then each era could have its own R_e(b)=3Dk_e*2^(-h_e*b/21= 0000) fitted to the amount of coins to be issued in that era according to t= he current supply rule, e.g. fitting k_e and h_e to R(419999)=3D25 and sum_= {b}_e=3D2,625,000.

Would such a BIP have any chance to be conside= red? Am I missing something?

Nando

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