accordingly to public release[1], They.
1. agreed that blocksize increase is needed.
2. opposed original 20mb, suggest 8mb instead as it is more technically reasonable.
3. do not want blocksize to change in the "short term future" ( direct translation. ) and in the document states.
"after discussion we are in agreement that the blocksize should be within the ball park of 8mb for the short term future."
They have no explicitly rejected or supported the other components of BIP101. It's my opinion that as long as the change is < 8mb. they'll take it.
I don't believe in trying to predict the future, on adoption, technology growth, nor geopolitics. I think it matters very little which BIP we need up deploying, as long as all the attack vectors are covered, especially for the dynamically adjustable ones.
One thing is for sure though, not increasing the blocksize is not an option.
we can't predict the future, in the mean time, Hardfork Responsibly™.